National Hunt jumps 2025/2026

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Re: National Hunt jumps 2025/2026

Unread post by Portsmouth »

Lir Speciale was a good win for you, Lord Bertie well I did think he might make a place but obviously was wrong. I'm glad I wasn't tempted to make a bet. My outsider in the Grand Sefton was pulled up and had no chance of making a place...only £1 e/way lost so not a big deal

Just for Onelife .....the words you were expecting....
I told you so...I told you so ... :lol: :lol:


Why Epictetus will never win....secret pics found

https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/imag ... I&usqp=CAU

waiting for his next drink
https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/imag ... 0&usqp=CAU

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Onelife
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Re: National Hunt jumps 2025/2026

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:lol: :lol:

I knew there was a reason why it ran so poorly ;) :)

Hope Spillanes can do me a favour tomorrow :thumbup:

Some good racing Fri/Sat/Sun next week.


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Re: National Hunt jumps 2025/2026

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Onelife wrote: 08 Nov 2025, 22:58

Hope Spillanes can do me a favour tomorrow :thumbup:
Yes, I agree....Spillanes Tower seems to be the one to beat at Naas 14:27 He has returned to hurdles for this race & I can't see him being beaten
Mind you I thought that about Handstands in his last race at Carlisle...and he got beat into second :lol:

Like you say nothing really of interest until maybe Friday at Cheltenham

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Onelife
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Re: National Hunt jumps 2025/2026

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Yes’, a good opportunity for Spillane’s Tower especially as he would have been carrying 33lbs more had it been a Chase race and not a hurdle race. Obviously, it has hurdles to negotiate but putting them behind him he should win. I do have one slight concern which might be that they use this race as prep race for the John Durken race later in the month…whatever happens you can be sure Spillane’s won’t be given a hard ride.

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Re: National Hunt jumps 2025/2026

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I think the best thing that JP Macmaus (owner) of Spillane’s Tower can do for his horse is change trainers…J P Mangan has a very poor strike rate with his horses and just watching the race it looked like he sent Spillane’s Tower out either short of work or just out for an afternoon stroll…either way the trainer should be brought before the stewards to explain the running of this short priced fav.

I didn’t back it but there will be many punters who did and they deserve better.

What say you, Pompey?


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Re: National Hunt jumps 2025/2026

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Kinda funny that shortly after making my post saying Spillanes Tower would probably win....I started having doubts.
This is because of something that JP Mcmanus racing manager said....

"Those horses always improve a nice bit when they go chasing, so it doesn't always work when you come back over hurdles, but we are more interested in getting him out and getting a run into him, and hopefully he runs well
So it wasn't a surprise to see him out of the first three

Now because of that run, he has been ruled out of the Betfair Chase.....(as you know,there are some good horses entered in that)
it was interesting to read what Jimmy Mangan had to say
“He’s just not a hurdler. He never was and he jumps hurdles the same way he jumps fences and makes a proper shape over them,”
[“I thought he would come on a bit for the run, but I didn’t think he would be as far back as he was/color]
“A lot of my good horses never won a hurdle race but were a different horse altogether when they saw a fence. I would say this fella is the same.

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Onelife
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Re: National Hunt jumps 2025/2026

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I don’t think these excuses stack up…. there were no world beaters in the field and this horse, had he been fit should have been able to pick the rest of the field up and carry them over the line. This to my mind was a horse that hadn’t done enough work on the gallops... which is borne out by his trainer saying he won’t be ready for the Betfair Chase…well if he won’t be ready for that race how the hell can he be ready for the John Dunken the day after?

SpillanesTower is a class hose and deserves much better than what he's getting from Mangan..how he wasn't, to my knowladge brought before the stewards is beyond me.

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Onelife
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Re: National Hunt jumps 2025/2026

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Tomorrow sees the start of the three day meeting at Cheltenham with, I dare say, many punters chomping at the bit in anticipation…unfurtunatly whilst I’ll certainly be tuning in I’m struggling to find anything that really takes my fancy, not just tomorrow, but the other two days as well.

I will however be having a few bets, not with a whole lot of confidence behind any of them.
Friday… I’m just having a 50p lucky 15 = £7.50

1.10 Kalium
1.45 Numitor
3.10 Welonlyhavedone
4.0 Alphonse Le Grande
……..
Saturday
2.45 Supremely West £5 win
…..
Sunday
2.55 Rapper £4 win £1 place
……
The following Saturday sees the running of the Betfair Stayers Hurdle in which I’m doing something I rarely do which is having an anti-post bet (none runner lose your stake) I may live to regret it but I placed £10 win on “Joyeux Machin” 12/1 this morning and will double up on it if it lines up on Saturday week.

I will give a full summary as to why I think this horse has a cracking chance later next week.
Last edited by Onelife on 13 Nov 2025, 19:58, edited 1 time in total.


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Re: National Hunt jumps 2025/2026

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There was talk yesterday about Storm Claudia affecting the racing at Cheltenham but seem like racing is Ok today
Unfortunately Onelifes first horse Kalium is now a non runner....
Shame about that as I think it might have had a good chance of winning & with decent odds
Numitor seems to either win or get pulled up lately....so it will be interesting to see the result ( can't be bothered to watch the video :lol: )
Alphonse is also an interesting choice ...previous winner of the Cesarewich but failed this year

The race you didn't mention is the 2:55 Shloer Chase won by Jonbon last year...this year he runs again but I think it may be harder for him
Top weight & two other good horses in the mix....No point in a bet at the price he is but I do hope he wins.
Your choice for Saturday seems to be ok except for the price @13/8 :shock: :silent:


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Re: National Hunt jumps 2025/2026

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Well it seems that your other horses are not doing too well
However all is not lost......you might be better picking a winning donkey :lol:
Just for you....
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hi7AqlJvurM
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Onelife
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Re: National Hunt jumps 2025/2026

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Portsmouth wrote: 14 Nov 2025, 16:50
Well it seems that your other horses are not doing too well
However all is not lost......you might be better picking a winning donkey :lol:
Just for you....
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hi7AqlJvurM
.
It would appear we were both out of luck today…but don’t you worry, come next Saturday you’ll have picked a winner when you believe in Onelife…I see “Joyeux Machin” has been backed down to 8/1

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Re: National Hunt jumps 2025/2026

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Hi Pompey…just been looking at tomorrows Paddy Power Gold Cup. If the meeting gets the go-ahead the one that is catching my eye is “Conyers Hill” …at 12/1 he looks to have a good EW chance. His trainer is in reasonable good form, add to this, when Paul Nolan sends one over from Ireland his horses generally run well. The horse should be ok with the ground and if he can handle the step up in distance then I think he has a fair chance of out running his odds

£4 win £1place

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Re: National Hunt jumps 2025/2026

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Portsmouth wrote: 14 Nov 2025, 16:50
Well it seems that your other horses are not doing too well
However all is not lost......you might be better picking a winning donkey :lol:
Just for you....
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hi7AqlJvurM
.
😂😂😂. .
I was taught to be cautious


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Re: National Hunt jumps 2025/2026

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Hi Onelife, seems like you have two runners today to take an interest in
2:55 Supremely West starting favourite looks like he will probably win .
The Paddy Power Gold Cup is a tricky one to call.....I was hoping for Jagwar but he is now a non runner.
Your choice Conyers Hill has been brought over for this race & trainer says must have some ease in the ground
I think it's more likely to get a place than win and there are are couple of stats that also suggest he won't win
but....stats are made to be broken...who could have predicted that 200/1 winner Powerful Glory at Ascot :shock:

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Re: National Hunt jumps 2025/2026

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Not the best couple of days racing as far as betting is concerned but where can you get two days enjoyment for £13.60.

So, what do we do in these situations? we look for the positives… with Conyers Hill running a cracker in the Paddy Power, plus it’s only 7 days until Joyeux Machin “hopefully” lines up in the Stayers hurdle. :thumbup:


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Re: National Hunt jumps 2025/2026

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Your earlier post suggested you picked Rapper for the 2:55 tomorrow, I think he must have been withdrawn from Cheltenham and now is showing to run on 20th Nov at Warwick.
Former Welsh National winner Nassalam is running in the 2:55 and likes soft/heavy so maybe could improve his poor form from his last few runs because the distance is no problem for him but the odds are too short for a decent e/way bet.
Looks like the next good races are at the weekend next week.


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Re: National Hunt jumps 2025/2026

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Almost forgot....Racing at Navan tomorrow. Troytown Handicap Chase 2:32 Gordon Elliot has won this about 7 times since 2014 and also had two places. He's having a real go again with several horses but W Mullins must also have a chance with top weight Quai De Bourbon who is also effective on heavy ground. My pick would be Favori de Champdou @14/1
Also in the following race at 15:07 I'll be interested to see Mullins entry Final Demand ....should be a straight forward win but a couple of the other horses deserve respect
Better get some fizz ready....my next post brings me to 500 :shock: :lol:

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Re: National Hunt jumps 2025/2026

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Portsmouth wrote: 15 Nov 2025, 20:53
Your earlier post suggested you picked Rapper for the 2:55 tomorrow, I think he must have been withdrawn from Cheltenham and now is showing to run on 20th Nov at Warwick.
Former Welsh National winner Nassalam is running in the 2:55 and likes soft/heavy so maybe could improve his poor form from his last few runs because the distance is no problem for him but the odds are too short for a decent e/way bet.
Looks like the next good races are at the weekend next week.
Hi Pompey, I’ve been struggling with a bad back this past week or so and because of this I've put a little bit of money in my Betfred account… just to tide me over. Your view about Nassalam would have most punters running a mile seeing that it has been pulled up in it’s last three runs. That being said I am in full agreement with you as to its chances, so much so that I placed £3.50 win on him this afternoon…taking 11/1.
Like you say, he has going, distance and a low weight to his advantage and it’s not usually for the stable to target a race such as this.
Last edited by Onelife on 15 Nov 2025, 23:19, edited 1 time in total.


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Re: National Hunt jumps 2025/2026

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Hi Onelife, yes, horrible having a bad back, fortunately I don't seem to one anymore but there was a time when I had problems with my back at work but I found lying quietly on a wooden floor for 20/30 mins made things a lot easier for me. Sometimes,people who have never had a bad back don't realise how painful they can be.

Back to Nassalam where he was pulled up in his last 3 races....you might like to take a look at Ken Roy running in the 2:05 at Fontwell today
He was also pulled up in his last 3 races before switching to fences last month and then he won. So maybe Nassalam can do the same although the competition is a bit stronger.

Just for interest not for betting you might be already aware of the Navan Racecard for tomorrow at 14:10 & 14:45
The Yellow Clay & Marine Nationale are both running should both start favourites

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Re: National Hunt jumps 2025/2026

Unread post by Ray B »

OL, try a 'go fund me' page for your betting account, people seem to throw money at anyone trying (begging) to get funds.
Don't worry, be happy

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Re: National Hunt jumps 2025/2026

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Onelife wrote: 15 Nov 2025, 15:30
Not the best couple of days racing as far as betting is concerned but where can you get two days enjoyment for £13.60.
I thought the idea was you came away from the bookies with more than you went with……🤔
I was taught to be cautious

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Re: National Hunt jumps 2025/2026

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Ray B wrote: 16 Nov 2025, 10:55
OL, try a 'go fund me' page for your betting account, people seem to throw money at anyone trying (begging) to get funds.
Hi Ray, this may well be the case but going by the response I had to my “onelifes cruise fund” I don’t think I’ll bother especially having witnessed what tight gits we have on this forum. ;) :)

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Re: National Hunt jumps 2025/2026

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oldbluefox wrote: 16 Nov 2025, 13:02
Onelife wrote: 15 Nov 2025, 15:30
Not the best couple of days racing as far as betting is concerned but where can you get two days enjoyment for £13.60.
I thought the idea was you came away from the bookies with more than you went with……🤔
Hi Foxy, thinking about it logically there would be no horse racing at all if it wasn’t for people like me :D :angel: …. thankfully I have a selective memory where I only remember the winners :thumbup: :D :wave:

I'll be PMing you later.

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Re: National Hunt jumps 2025/2026

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Well, Nasalam ran better better than his last three runs… before getting pulled up again. :( but still smiling :)

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Re: National Hunt jumps 2025/2026

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Just a quick post to my many thousands of followers :) :angel: …to go along with my already advised Saturday tip “Joyeux Machin” 2.25 Haydock (which has now been backed into second fav) I’m putting up another early bird horse at the same meeting which is currently 16/1 generally 14/1…” Minella Missile” 1.15 Haydock…. whilst it hasn’t won or even got placed this past couple of years, I do think it’s worth draining the grandchildren’s money box of a few quid for this one. (p.s I'm not suggesting that you rush out and back this one anti-post as it may not run... and as a consequence you would be forfeiting your grandchildren’s pocket money ;) :)

Full appraisal later in the week

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